2012 BGN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

21.3398 RUB

YEARLY LOW

19.6064 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.3918 RUB

2012 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 4, valuing the pair at 21.3398. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 18, dropping to 19.6064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7335 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.6652 to the December average rate of 20.5959, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 21.3398 was down 4.59% compared to the 2011 peak of 22.3675, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 106,699 RUB

2011 Average 104,499 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 98,032 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,667.39 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

21.1551

19.6617

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.2724, compared to 20.5111 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2387 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.2724

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.5111

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 1.3549 RUB (High: 21.1151 / Low: 19.7602). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2087 RUB (High: 19.9366 / Low: 19.7279).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.3549

April Spread (Stable) ±0.2087

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.6338 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6338

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2012: 21.0306) against the same month in 2011 (average: 20.5677), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4629 (+2.25%).

2012 Avg (June) 21.0306

2011 Avg (June) 20.5677

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	21.2825	20.2507	20.6652
February	20.3218	19.9079	20.1423
March	20.0439	19.6064	19.7862
April	19.9366	19.7279	19.8138
May	21.1151	19.7602	20.1962
June	21.3398	20.7326	21.0306
July	21.0429	19.8994	20.3969
August	20.8158	19.9338	20.2317
September	20.8044	20.4405	20.6259
October	20.7959	20.5017	20.6343
November	20.7620	20.4526	20.5822
December	20.8241	20.3447	20.5959