2019 BGN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

40.6650 RUB

YEARLY LOW

35.0384 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.0356 RUB

2019 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 40.6650. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 35.0384.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.6266 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.9463 to the December average rate of 35.7072, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.32% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 40.6650 was down 2.79% compared to the 2018 peak of 41.8323, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 203,325 RUB

2018 Average 189,312 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 175,192 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 28,132.82 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

39.2702

35.3832

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 37.6663, compared to 36.4049 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.2613 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 37.6663

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 36.4049

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 2.6675 RUB (High: 40.6650 / Low: 37.9975). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3730 RUB (High: 36.2855 / Low: 35.9124).

January Spread (Volatile) ±2.6675

November Spread (Stable) ±0.3730

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9149 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9149

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 38.9463) against the same month in 2018 (average: 35.3426), the exchange rate shifted by +3.6037 (+10.20%).

2019 Avg (January) 38.9463

2018 Avg (January) 35.3426

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	40.6650	37.9975	38.9463
February	38.4952	37.8757	38.1718
March	38.2965	37.0316	37.6879
April	37.5131	36.5532	37.0575
May	37.5102	36.7138	37.1301
June	37.5754	36.2387	37.0041
July	36.6336	35.9639	36.2669
August	37.9422	36.4505	37.4687
September	37.5287	35.8250	36.5537
October	36.5740	36.1378	36.3506
November	36.2855	35.9124	36.0827
December	36.4047	35.0384	35.7072