2018 BGN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

41.8323 RUB

YEARLY LOW

34.7599 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.8550 RUB

2018 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 41.8323. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 9, dropping to 34.7599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.0725 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.3426 to the December average rate of 39.3230, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.26% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 41.8323 was up 14.05% compared to the 2017 peak of 36.6774, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 209,162 RUB

2017 Average 168,508 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 173,799 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 35,362.30 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

40.7592

34.8501

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.7624, compared to 38.9477 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.1853 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.7624

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 38.9477

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 3.7295 RUB (High: 39.7581 / Low: 36.0286). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7561 RUB (High: 37.8310 / Low: 37.0749).

April Spread (Volatile) ±3.7295

June Spread (Stable) ±0.7561

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.5792 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5792

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 40.2668) against the same month in 2017 (average: 35.1176), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1492 (+14.66%).

2018 Avg (September) 40.2668

2017 Avg (September) 35.1176

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	35.7616	34.7599	35.3426
February	36.5546	35.0461	35.9100
March	36.4562	35.5512	36.0201
April	39.7581	36.0286	38.1342
May	38.9743	36.7300	37.6927
June	37.8310	37.0749	37.4748
July	38.0711	37.0781	37.5659
August	40.7308	37.4605	39.1853
September	41.8323	38.9352	40.2668
October	39.4311	38.0091	38.6876
November	39.3636	38.1525	38.6574
December	40.6916	38.4325	39.3230