2016 BGN to RUB Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

46.0708 RUB

YEARLY LOW

32.2126 RUB

YEARLY AVERAGE

37.9303 RUB

2016 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 46.0708. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 32.2126.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 13.8582 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 42.5290 to the December average rate of 33.4316, the exchange rate registered a net change of -21.39% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 46.0708 was up 10.60% compared to the 2015 peak of 41.6572, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 230,354 RUB

2015 Average 173,807 RUB

Yearly Trough Low 161,063 RUB

Transaction Impact: A difference of 69,290.89 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

44.8799

32.3909

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 40.0378, compared to 35.8227 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.2151 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 40.0378

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.8227

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 5.3328 RUB (High: 45.7371 / Low: 40.4043). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4739 RUB (High: 36.0879 / Low: 34.6141).

January Spread (Volatile) ±5.3328

October Spread (Stable) ±1.4739

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 4.0612 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.0612

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 43.8392) against the same month in 2015 (average: 37.3171), the exchange rate shifted by +6.5221 (+17.48%).

2016 Avg (February) 43.8392

2015 Avg (February) 37.3171

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	45.7371	40.4043	42.5290
February	46.0708	41.9566	43.8392
March	41.0158	38.7540	39.7780
April	39.8765	37.5900	38.6018
May	39.1624	37.3872	38.0764
June	38.2303	36.3022	37.4023
July	37.7252	35.5612	36.4252
August	38.2156	36.6812	37.1680
September	37.5991	36.0805	36.9568
October	36.0879	34.6141	35.3308
November	36.5599	34.6632	35.6238
December	34.9420	32.2126	33.4316