YEARLY HIGH
55.9958 RUB
YEARLY LOW
36.5870 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
47.2606 RUB

2023 BGN to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the BGN to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 13, valuing the pair at 55.9958. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 36.5870.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 19.4088 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 38.5715 to the December average rate of 50.8397, the exchange rate registered a net change of 31.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 55.9958 was down 29.29% compared to the 2022 peak of 79.1920, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 BGN based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 279,979 RUB
2022 Average 189,421 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 182,935 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 97,044.08 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

54.9414
37.0833
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

BGN to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 42.7125, compared to 51.8087 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 9.0961 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 42.7125
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 51.8087

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 5.3080 RUB (High: 49.5527 / Low: 44.2448). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7519 RUB (High: 50.9638 / Low: 49.2119).

June Spread (Volatile) ±5.3080
November Spread (Stable) ±1.7519

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.3326 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3326

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2023: 53.4533) against the same month in 2022 (average: 31.4539), the exchange rate shifted by +21.9993 (+69.94%).

2023 Avg (August) 53.4533
2022 Avg (August) 31.4539

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 40.3364 36.5870 38.5715
February 41.1430 38.9586 40.2108
March 43.1457 40.7801 41.8160
April 46.1906 43.1457 45.4502
May 45.4412 42.7426 43.9791
June 49.5527 44.2448 46.2476
July 52.4436 49.0686 51.2313
August 55.9958 51.9978 53.4533
September 53.8901 51.9146 52.8045
October 54.7282 50.3974 52.4279
November 50.9638 49.2119 50.0953
December 52.2878 49.7860 50.8397