YEARLY HIGH
8642.6092 STD
YEARLY LOW
7854.7013 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
8317.0972 STD

2018 GEL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GEL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 18, valuing the pair at 8642.6092. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 31, dropping to 7854.7013.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 787.9079 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7895.4539 to the December average rate of 7906.4340, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8642.6092 was down 10.86% compared to the 2017 peak of 9695.8928, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,213,046 STD
2017 Average 43,528,538 STD
Yearly Trough Low 39,273,507 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,939,539.45 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8690.9181
7823.1390
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8212.1577, compared to 8422.0366 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 209.8789 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8212.1577
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8422.0366

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 707.2554 STD (High: 8602.6504 / Low: 7895.3950). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 54.0096 STD (High: 8642.6092 / Low: 8588.5997).

November Spread (Volatile) ±707.2554
October Spread (Stable) ±54.0096

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 425.1010 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -425.1010

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2018: 8618.6032) against the same month in 2017 (average: 8372.0115), the exchange rate shifted by +246.5916 (+2.95%).

2018 Avg (October) 8618.6032
2017 Avg (October) 8372.0115

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 8014.8648 7855.5316 7895.4539
February 8200.4713 7942.0926 8071.2031
March 8179.0764 8075.7100 8128.8989
April 8237.8488 8093.8658 8177.8547
May 8539.3565 8302.4260 8441.2466
June 8624.7153 8452.5607 8558.2893
July 8611.3522 8535.6143 8576.0657
August 8602.6504 8478.8559 8529.9507
September 8602.6504 8464.3663 8569.6313
October 8642.6092 8588.5997 8618.6032
November 8602.6504 7895.3950 8331.5349
December 7949.0458 7854.7013 7906.4340