YEARLY HIGH
7988.8424 STD
YEARLY LOW
7210.9666 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
7578.7640 STD

2019 GEL to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GEL to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 15, valuing the pair at 7988.8424. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 21, dropping to 7210.9666.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 777.8758 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7904.9428 to the December average rate of 7457.6614, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 7988.8424 was down 7.56% compared to the 2018 peak of 8642.6092, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GEL based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 39,944,212 STD
2018 Average 41,590,537 STD
Yearly Trough Low 36,054,833 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,889,379.01 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

8003.3210
7199.3054
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GEL to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7795.5014, compared to 7362.0266 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 433.4748 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7795.5014
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7362.0266

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was July, with a trading range of 454.5320 STD (High: 7714.0572 / Low: 7259.5253). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 57.9673 STD (High: 7840.0743 / Low: 7782.1071).

July Spread (Volatile) ±454.5320
April Spread (Stable) ±57.9673

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 161.8180 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -161.8180

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2019: 7936.3197) against the same month in 2018 (average: 8071.2031), the exchange rate shifted by -134.8834 (-1.67%).

2019 Avg (February) 7936.3197
2018 Avg (February) 8071.2031

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7928.6628 7854.7013 7904.9428
February 7988.8424 7825.5017 7936.3197
March 7913.7593 7810.9832 7849.5929
April 7840.0743 7782.1071 7811.5083
May 7782.1071 7504.6701 7652.9696
June 7739.1910 7360.3495 7617.6752
July 7714.0572 7259.5253 7524.7643
August 7421.9587 7308.7424 7362.9464
September 7333.6020 7235.1644 7283.6898
October 7321.1511 7223.0452 7276.7911
November 7302.2570 7210.9666 7266.3067
December 7551.9405 7259.5253 7457.6614