YEARLY HIGH
164.7749 BIF
YEARLY LOW
140.7234 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
150.8158 BIF

2011 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 13, valuing the pair at 164.7749. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 21, dropping to 140.7234.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.0515 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 141.6343 to the December average rate of 160.8454, the exchange rate registered a net change of 13.56% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 164.7749 was up 13.63% compared to the 2010 peak of 145.0137, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 823,875 BIF
2010 Average 709,609 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 703,617 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 120,257.72 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

162.7666
139.7132
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 147.1531, compared to 154.4785 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.3253 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 147.1531
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 154.4785

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was April, with a trading range of 12.1613 BIF (High: 153.7481 / Low: 141.5868). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8836 BIF (High: 142.1158 / Low: 141.2322).

April Spread (Volatile) ±12.1613
February Spread (Stable) ±0.8836

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.1207 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1207

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2011: 160.8454) against the same month in 2010 (average: 141.6076), the exchange rate shifted by +19.2378 (+13.59%).

2011 Avg (December) 160.8454
2010 Avg (December) 141.6076

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 142.3057 140.7562 141.6343
February 142.1158 141.2322 141.8495
March 142.4048 140.7234 141.7288
April 153.7481 141.5868 151.8039
May 153.7040 152.2920 152.9899
June 153.7611 152.1260 152.9124
July 153.6136 152.1368 152.9003
August 153.4758 152.0993 152.8900
September 153.7129 152.3071 152.9822
October 153.6724 152.7740 153.2657
November 158.7658 153.0466 153.9872
December 164.7749 153.6427 160.8454