YEARLY HIGH
211.2089 BIF
YEARLY LOW
192.7971 BIF
YEARLY AVERAGE
202.1940 BIF

2016 MOP to BIF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to BIF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 25, valuing the pair at 211.2089. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 18, dropping to 192.7971.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 18.4118 BIF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 194.8218 to the December average rate of 209.6018, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.59% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 211.2089 was up 2.67% compared to the 2015 peak of 205.7249, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,056,045 BIF
2015 Average 980,875 BIF
Yearly Trough Low 963,985 BIF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 92,059.16 BIF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

211.1116
192.9934
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to BIF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 195.8569, compared to 208.5311 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 12.6742 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 195.8569
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 208.5311

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 17.3457 BIF (High: 211.2089 / Low: 193.8632). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.3380 BIF (High: 209.2009 / Low: 207.8629).

June Spread (Volatile) ±17.3457
October Spread (Stable) ±1.3380

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.8895 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8895

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2016: 200.8203) against the same month in 2015 (average: 196.1720), the exchange rate shifted by +4.6483 (+2.37%).

2016 Avg (June) 200.8203
2015 Avg (June) 196.1720

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 196.1762 192.7971 194.8218
February 195.5726 193.0468 194.6267
March 196.4654 193.9826 195.3928
April 195.8989 193.1298 194.5032
May 196.0367 193.8038 194.9765
June 211.2089 193.8632 200.8203
July 208.4303 206.6135 207.4351
August 209.3934 206.6911 208.0152
September 209.3145 207.2953 208.2739
October 209.2009 207.8629 208.6519
November 210.1183 208.5869 209.2086
December 210.8449 208.5418 209.6018