YEARLY HIGH
1143.7779 GNF
YEARLY LOW
1105.3709 GNF
YEARLY AVERAGE
1121.1766 GNF

2018 MOP to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 1143.7779. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 18, dropping to 1105.3709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.4071 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1118.6835 to the December average rate of 1136.0652, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1143.7779 was down 3.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 1188.2918, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,718,890 GNF
2017 Average 5,685,543 GNF
Yearly Trough Low 5,526,854 GNF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 192,035.35 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1138.1509
1113.1221
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1116.7567, compared to 1125.5965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.8398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1116.7567
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1125.5965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 20.2314 GNF (High: 1125.6022 / Low: 1105.3709). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.8442 GNF (High: 1118.7862 / Low: 1115.9421).

August Spread (Volatile) ±20.2314
June Spread (Stable) ±2.8442

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.2547 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1136.0652) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1120.5129), the exchange rate shifted by +15.5523 (+1.39%).

2018 Avg (December) 1136.0652
2017 Avg (December) 1120.5129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1124.0396 1112.6336 1118.6835
February 1120.2713 1116.2762 1117.7992
March 1117.4743 1113.0795 1115.5445
April 1117.9140 1110.1168 1115.8767
May 1118.6552 1111.5924 1115.2079
June 1118.7862 1115.9421 1117.4285
July 1125.4880 1116.7229 1119.6406
August 1125.6022 1105.3709 1119.4700
September 1132.0731 1118.3764 1122.8751
October 1131.0082 1121.1545 1125.2562
November 1138.9245 1125.5092 1130.2719
December 1143.7779 1127.4922 1136.0652