2018 MOP to GNF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

1143.7779 GNF

YEARLY LOW

1105.3709 GNF

YEARLY AVERAGE

1121.1766 GNF

2018 MOP to GNF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to GNF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 1143.7779. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 18, dropping to 1105.3709.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.4071 GNF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1118.6835 to the December average rate of 1136.0652, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 1143.7779 was down 3.75% compared to the 2017 peak of 1188.2918, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 5,718,890 GNF

2017 Average 5,685,543 GNF

Yearly Trough Low 5,526,854 GNF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 192,035.35 GNF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

1138.1509

1113.1221

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to GNF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1116.7567, compared to 1125.5965 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.8398 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1116.7567

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1125.5965

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was August, with a trading range of 20.2314 GNF (High: 1125.6022 / Low: 1105.3709). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.8442 GNF (High: 1118.7862 / Low: 1115.9421).

August Spread (Volatile) ±20.2314

June Spread (Stable) ±2.8442

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 2.2547 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.2547

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2018: 1136.0652) against the same month in 2017 (average: 1120.5129), the exchange rate shifted by +15.5523 (+1.39%).

2018 Avg (December) 1136.0652

2017 Avg (December) 1120.5129

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	1124.0396	1112.6336	1118.6835
February	1120.2713	1116.2762	1117.7992
March	1117.4743	1113.0795	1115.5445
April	1117.9140	1110.1168	1115.8767
May	1118.6552	1111.5924	1115.2079
June	1118.7862	1115.9421	1117.4285
July	1125.4880	1116.7229	1119.6406
August	1125.6022	1105.3709	1119.4700
September	1132.0731	1118.3764	1122.8751
October	1131.0082	1121.1545	1125.2562
November	1138.9245	1125.5092	1130.2719
December	1143.7779	1127.4922	1136.0652