YEARLY HIGH
10.2099 RUB
YEARLY LOW
7.5714 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
8.3807 RUB

2016 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 10.2099. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 7.5714.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.6385 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 9.5499 to the December average rate of 7.7613, the exchange rate registered a net change of -18.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 10.2099 was up 11.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 9.1753, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 51,049 RUB
2015 Average 38,344 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 37,857 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 13,192.52 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

9.8195
7.5742
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 8.7743, compared to 7.9871 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7872 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 8.7743
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 7.9871

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 1.0836 RUB (High: 10.2099 / Low: 9.1263). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1585 RUB (High: 7.9248 / Low: 7.7663).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0836
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1585

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2016. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.8859 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8859

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 9.5499) against the same month in 2015 (average: 8.0172), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5328 (+19.12%).

2016 Avg (January) 9.5499
2015 Avg (January) 8.0172

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 10.2099 9.1263 9.5499
February 9.9321 9.4028 9.6324
March 9.2062 8.4053 8.7465
April 8.5759 8.1170 8.3354
May 8.3758 8.1189 8.2431
June 8.3621 7.9588 8.1384
July 8.3291 7.8638 8.0532
August 8.3595 7.9849 8.1197
September 8.2391 7.8785 8.0710
October 7.9248 7.7663 7.8392
November 8.2399 7.9345 8.0781
December 8.0338 7.5714 7.7613