YEARLY HIGH
8.7248 RUB
YEARLY LOW
6.9064 RUB
YEARLY AVERAGE
7.7779 RUB

2018 MOP to RUB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to RUB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 10, valuing the pair at 8.7248. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 26, dropping to 6.9064.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8184 RUB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.0366 to the December average rate of 8.3892, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 8.7248 was up 13.89% compared to the 2017 peak of 7.6609, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 43,624 RUB
2017 Average 36,336 RUB
Yearly Trough Low 34,532 RUB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,091.96 RUB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

8.5244
6.9014
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to RUB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.3603, compared to 8.1955 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8352 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.3603
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 8.1955

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was April, with a trading range of 0.7127 RUB (High: 7.7865 / Low: 7.0739). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1746 RUB (High: 7.1716 / Low: 6.9970).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.7127
March Spread (Stable) ±0.1746

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2110 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2110

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2018: 8.3726) against the same month in 2017 (average: 7.1551), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2175 (+17.02%).

2018 Avg (September) 8.3726
2017 Avg (September) 7.1551

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.1687 6.9456 7.0366
February 7.2440 6.9064 7.0573
March 7.1716 6.9970 7.0753
April 7.7865 7.0739 7.5180
May 7.8896 7.5675 7.7095
June 7.8960 7.6315 7.7652
July 7.8704 7.6405 7.7757
August 8.4397 7.7894 8.2191
September 8.7248 8.1381 8.3726
October 8.2889 8.0592 8.1616
November 8.4257 8.1312 8.2550
December 8.6339 8.2432 8.3892