YEARLY HIGH
2950.2014 STD
YEARLY LOW
2615.8492 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2769.5167 STD

2016 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 21, valuing the pair at 2950.2014. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 24, dropping to 2615.8492.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 334.3522 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2811.8185 to the December average rate of 2912.0674, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.57% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 2950.2014 was up 1.52% compared to the 2015 peak of 2906.1325, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 14,751,007 STD
2015 Average 13,824,675 STD
Yearly Trough Low 13,079,246 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,671,761.03 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

2933.2350
2679.2241
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2743.9187, compared to 2795.1147 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 51.1961 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2743.9187
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2795.1147

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was June, with a trading range of 166.1444 STD (High: 2781.9936 / Low: 2615.8492). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 30.3330 STD (High: 2754.0478 / Low: 2723.7149).

June Spread (Volatile) ±166.1444
September Spread (Stable) ±30.3330

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 58.1923 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -58.1923

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 2912.0674) against the same month in 2015 (average: 2820.4513), the exchange rate shifted by +91.6161 (+3.25%).

2016 Avg (December) 2912.0674
2015 Avg (December) 2820.4513

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2839.5951 2793.0547 2811.8185
February 2812.4690 2728.4550 2762.2901
March 2817.4268 2701.1644 2758.5839
April 2720.2747 2670.2744 2700.3916
May 2747.6370 2659.5904 2706.4646
June 2781.9936 2615.8492 2723.9633
July 2792.0512 2750.2357 2769.0532
August 2768.8607 2704.5396 2736.1344
September 2754.0478 2723.7149 2735.4367
October 2819.6393 2710.0753 2777.9501
November 2901.9963 2758.4695 2840.0466
December 2950.2014 2871.3115 2912.0674