YEARLY HIGH
2714.0424 STD
YEARLY LOW
2595.2990 STD
YEARLY AVERAGE
2640.9224 STD

2019 MOP to STD Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to STD exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 2714.0424. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 31, dropping to 2595.2990.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 118.7435 STD. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2606.4189 to the December average rate of 2682.9309, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.94% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2714.0424 was up 3.18% compared to the 2018 peak of 2630.3353, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 13,570,212 STD
2018 Average 12,798,438 STD
Yearly Trough Low 12,976,495 STD
Transaction Impact: A difference of 593,717.35 STD purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2690.8260
2596.0856
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to STD Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2606.9040, compared to 2674.9407 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 68.0367 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2606.9040
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2674.9407

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 76.9582 STD (High: 2678.0806 / Low: 2601.1223). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5942 STD (High: 2605.3093 / Low: 2601.7152).

June Spread (Volatile) ±76.9582
February Spread (Stable) ±3.5942

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 7.5856 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.5856

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 2671.5869) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2604.4972), the exchange rate shifted by +67.0897 (+2.58%).

2019 Avg (August) 2671.5869
2018 Avg (August) 2604.4972

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2617.2247 2595.2990 2606.4189
February 2605.3093 2601.7152 2603.9806
March 2609.4470 2603.0236 2604.3433
April 2611.4848 2599.4710 2604.8360
May 2608.6706 2599.9372 2604.4371
June 2678.0806 2601.1223 2617.4082
July 2687.3910 2669.2279 2679.1725
August 2714.0424 2667.4378 2671.5869
September 2694.8138 2656.9859 2671.6559
October 2679.2243 2667.0260 2669.8882
November 2679.1711 2670.9279 2674.4100
December 2691.7855 2673.1353 2682.9309