YEARLY HIGH
4.1368 THB
YEARLY LOW
3.8470 THB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0023 THB

2018 MOP to THB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to THB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 26, valuing the pair at 4.1368. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 3.8470.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2897 THB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9595 to the December average rate of 4.0588, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 4.1368 was down 8.07% compared to the 2017 peak of 4.5001, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,684 THB
2017 Average 21,141 THB
Yearly Trough Low 19,235 THB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,448.73 THB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

4.1391
3.8479
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to THB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9300, compared to 4.0746 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1446 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9300
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0746

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 0.1609 THB (High: 4.0523 / Low: 3.8914). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0439 THB (High: 4.1109 / Low: 4.0669).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1609
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0439

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0528 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0528

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 4.1148) against the same month in 2017 (average: 4.1984), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0836 (-1.99%).

2018 Avg (July) 4.1148
2017 Avg (July) 4.1984

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0523 3.8914 3.9595
February 3.9612 3.8822 3.9066
March 3.9044 3.8546 3.8723
April 3.9095 3.8470 3.8722
May 3.9836 3.9097 3.9523
June 4.0995 3.9464 4.0172
July 4.1368 4.0911 4.1148
August 4.1291 4.0238 4.0868
September 4.0587 4.0037 4.0364
October 4.1208 4.0028 4.0615
November 4.1109 4.0669 4.0891
December 4.0889 3.9951 4.0588