YEARLY HIGH
4.1898 THB
YEARLY LOW
3.8398 THB
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.0085 THB

2026 MOP to THB Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to THB exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 23, valuing the pair at 4.1898. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 13, dropping to 3.8398.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3500 THB. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9019 to the December average rate of 4.1486, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.32% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.1898 was down 3.86% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.3579, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,949 THB
2025 Average 20,463 THB
Yearly Trough Low 19,199 THB
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,750.15 THB purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.1754
3.8545
JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to THB Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.9851, compared to 4.1486 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1635 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.9851
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1486

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.2208 THB (High: 4.0996 / Low: 3.8788). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0139 THB (High: 4.0448 / Low: 4.0309).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.2208
May Spread (Stable) ±0.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0207 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0207

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2026: 4.1486) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.0123), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1363 (+3.40%).

2026 Avg (July) 4.1486
2025 Avg (July) 4.0123

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.9332 3.8528 3.9019
February 3.9563 3.8398 3.8812
March 4.0996 3.8788 4.0029
April 4.0595 3.9656 4.0051
May 4.0448 4.0309 4.0404
June 4.1380 4.0271 4.0790
July 4.1898 4.1112 4.1486