YEARLY HIGH
462.5958 UGX
YEARLY LOW
346.7588 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
405.3473 UGX

2015 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 10, valuing the pair at 462.5958. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 346.7588.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 115.8369 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 356.7151 to the December average rate of 421.7555, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 462.5958 was up 32.89% compared to the 2014 peak of 348.0953, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,312,979 UGX
2014 Average 1,626,237 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,733,794 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 579,184.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

469.0563
346.5023
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 372.5575, compared to 438.1372 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 65.5797 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 372.5575
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 438.1372

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 34.2226 UGX (High: 442.7791 / Low: 408.5566). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.4074 UGX (High: 461.6616 / Low: 457.2543).

July Spread (Volatile) ±34.2226
September Spread (Stable) ±4.4074

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 27.3408 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -27.3408

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 455.9370) against the same month in 2014 (average: 334.7847), the exchange rate shifted by +121.1523 (+36.19%).

2015 Avg (October) 455.9370
2014 Avg (October) 334.7847

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 363.5802 346.7588 356.7151
February 362.0908 357.4888 359.3534
March 375.3616 361.6901 368.0777
April 378.0219 372.7225 375.7572
May 382.8223 372.3817 376.2105
June 412.6795 383.5164 399.2311
July 442.7791 408.5566 419.7118
August 457.6885 429.1410 443.9792
September 461.6616 457.2543 458.8434
October 462.5958 442.8065 455.9370
November 445.1264 419.9797 428.5962
December 434.2887 415.6652 421.7555