YEARLY HIGH
456.4626 UGX
YEARLY LOW
443.7895 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
450.6585 UGX

2017 MOP to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MOP to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 15, valuing the pair at 456.4626. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 27, dropping to 443.7895.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 12.6731 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 452.6516 to the December average rate of 450.7049, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.43% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 456.4626 was up 0.41% compared to the 2016 peak of 454.6199, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,282,313 UGX
2016 Average 2,137,103 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 2,218,948 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 63,365.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

453.5151
446.7248
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 450.8949, compared to 450.4220 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4729 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 450.8949
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 450.4220

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was March, with a trading range of 9.6680 UGX (High: 456.4626 / Low: 446.7946). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.0070 UGX (High: 452.2857 / Low: 447.2787).

March Spread (Volatile) ±9.6680
December Spread (Stable) ±5.0070

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 4.8402 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.8402

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 451.5308) against the same month in 2016 (average: 420.7255), the exchange rate shifted by +30.8053 (+7.32%).

2017 Avg (March) 451.5308
2016 Avg (March) 420.7255

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 456.2734 449.2670 452.6516
February 453.0074 446.2290 448.8161
March 456.4626 446.7946 451.5308
April 455.6179 449.6295 452.9493
May 454.6840 448.8749 452.1309
June 451.8915 443.7895 447.2907
July 454.6262 446.7738 449.1631
August 451.9001 446.5444 449.1939
September 452.5444 446.5756 448.3951
October 455.1281 448.7480 452.4014
November 456.1266 449.7566 452.6736
December 452.2857 447.2787 450.7049