YEARLY HIGH
101.1787 UGX
YEARLY LOW
92.9110 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
96.2035 UGX

2016 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 101.1787. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 92.9110.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.2677 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 95.5326 to the December average rate of 100.2016, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 101.1787 was down 3.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 104.6069, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 505,893 UGX
2015 Average 461,002 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 464,555 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 41,338.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

100.7746
93.8990
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 95.1788, compared to 97.2281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0493 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 95.1788
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 97.2281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 4.8710 UGX (High: 101.1646 / Low: 96.2936). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9472 UGX (High: 96.1547 / Low: 95.2074).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.8710
September Spread (Stable) ±0.9472

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.4252 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 100.2016) against the same month in 2015 (average: 93.1558), the exchange rate shifted by +7.0458 (+7.56%).

2016 Avg (December) 100.2016
2015 Avg (December) 93.1558

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 96.5553 94.0453 95.5326
February 97.2342 93.3605 95.8971
March 95.6931 92.9110 94.4719
April 95.9103 94.2752 95.2046
May 96.3650 94.3626 95.0784
June 96.0958 94.3550 94.8884
July 96.1528 94.9699 95.4446
August 96.9998 95.1224 96.0098
September 96.1547 95.2074 95.8122
October 97.3267 95.3481 96.3802
November 101.1646 96.2936 99.5203
December 101.1787 98.7204 100.2016