2016 MUR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

101.1787 UGX

YEARLY LOW

92.9110 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

96.2035 UGX

2016 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 101.1787. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 92.9110.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.2677 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 95.5326 to the December average rate of 100.2016, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 101.1787 was down 3.28% compared to the 2015 peak of 104.6069, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 505,893 UGX

2015 Average 461,002 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 464,555 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 41,338.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

100.7746

93.8990

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 95.1788, compared to 97.2281 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0493 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 95.1788

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 97.2281

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 4.8710 UGX (High: 101.1646 / Low: 96.2936). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9472 UGX (High: 96.1547 / Low: 95.2074).

November Spread (Volatile) ±4.8710

September Spread (Stable) ±0.9472

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 1.4252 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 100.2016) against the same month in 2015 (average: 93.1558), the exchange rate shifted by +7.0458 (+7.56%).

2016 Avg (December) 100.2016

2015 Avg (December) 93.1558

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	96.5553	94.0453	95.5326
February	97.2342	93.3605	95.8971
March	95.6931	92.9110	94.4719
April	95.9103	94.2752	95.2046
May	96.3650	94.3626	95.0784
June	96.0958	94.3550	94.8884
July	96.1528	94.9699	95.4446
August	96.9998	95.1224	96.0098
September	96.1547	95.2074	95.8122
October	97.3267	95.3481	96.3802
November	101.1646	96.2936	99.5203
December	101.1787	98.7204	100.2016