YEARLY HIGH
101.8036 UGX
YEARLY LOW
91.5676 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
94.8349 UGX

2020 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 101.8036. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 21, dropping to 91.5676.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.2359 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 100.5424 to the December average rate of 92.5459, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 101.8036 was down 6.92% compared to the 2019 peak of 109.3676, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 509,018 UGX
2019 Average 520,953 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 457,838 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 51,179.59 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

101.3420
91.7463
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 96.8539, compared to 92.8159 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.0380 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 96.8539
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 92.8159

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 5.1614 UGX (High: 100.4910 / Low: 95.3296). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.1054 UGX (High: 93.6000 / Low: 92.4946).

March Spread (Volatile) ±5.1614
September Spread (Stable) ±1.1054

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 2.7124 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7124

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 100.5424) against the same month in 2019 (average: 108.0522), the exchange rate shifted by -7.5099 (-6.95%).

2020 Avg (January) 100.5424
2019 Avg (January) 108.0522

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 101.8036 99.7430 100.5424
February 100.1887 97.5716 98.8009
March 100.4910 95.3296 98.0382
April 96.8521 94.3861 95.3259
May 95.7026 93.9610 94.9327
June 94.8754 92.5886 93.4836
July 93.7023 91.5676 92.6848
August 93.2904 91.7572 92.5773
September 93.6000 92.4946 92.9021
October 93.7744 92.4024 93.2134
November 93.6240 91.7923 92.9719
December 93.0433 91.8129 92.5459