YEARLY HIGH
81.8272 UGX
YEARLY LOW
74.8684 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
78.6391 UGX

2026 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 12, valuing the pair at 81.8272. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 20, dropping to 74.8684.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.9588 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 77.3988 to the December average rate of 78.4116, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 81.8272 was down 2.44% compared to the 2025 peak of 83.8757, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 409,136 UGX
2025 Average 393,369 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 374,342 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 34,794.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

80.0619
77.1567
JanuMarcMayJuly

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.6770, compared to 78.4116 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2655 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.6770
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 78.4116

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 4.4963 UGX (High: 79.3647 / Low: 74.8684). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2701 UGX (High: 79.7368 / Low: 79.4667).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.4963
May Spread (Stable) ±0.2701

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.4751 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4751

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 79.8198) against the same month in 2025 (average: 80.5219), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7021 (-0.87%).

2026 Avg (March) 79.8198
2025 Avg (March) 80.5219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 79.3647 74.8684 77.3988
February 79.3240 76.8368 77.4153
March 81.8272 77.4413 79.8198
April 80.3381 79.0149 79.7450
May 79.7368 79.4667 79.5791
June 79.6007 76.2596 78.1040
July 79.5194 77.5791 78.4116