YEARLY HIGH
113.3438 UGX
YEARLY LOW
106.7462 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
109.5582 UGX

2018 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 4, valuing the pair at 113.3438. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 17, dropping to 106.7462.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.5976 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 110.4469 to the December average rate of 108.1160, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 113.3438 was up 1.87% compared to the 2017 peak of 111.2596, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 566,719 UGX
2017 Average 524,455 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 533,731 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 32,987.98 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

111.9671
107.4478
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 110.2330, compared to 108.8833 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.3498 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 110.2330
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 108.8833

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 5.1557 UGX (High: 112.5645 / Low: 107.4088). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.7853 UGX (High: 108.5316 / Low: 106.7462).

July Spread (Volatile) ±5.1557
November Spread (Stable) ±1.7853

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.9245 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9245

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2018: 111.5905) against the same month in 2017 (average: 100.9975), the exchange rate shifted by +10.5930 (+10.49%).

2018 Avg (February) 111.5905
2017 Avg (February) 100.9975

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 112.5064 108.3595 110.4469
February 113.3438 108.6258 111.5905
March 112.0102 109.2396 110.5509
April 111.2428 108.8471 109.7449
May 109.3821 107.2828 107.9988
June 112.8602 109.6178 111.0663
July 112.5645 107.4088 109.1418
August 109.9164 106.9068 108.1238
September 111.9167 109.3061 110.6868
October 110.8607 107.6299 109.4069
November 108.5316 106.7462 107.8244
December 109.2377 107.0449 108.1160