YEARLY HIGH
109.3676 UGX
YEARLY LOW
99.8739 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
104.2082 UGX

2019 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 109.3676. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 25, dropping to 99.8739.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.4937 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 108.0522 to the December average rate of 100.5338, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.96% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 109.3676 was down 3.51% compared to the 2018 peak of 113.3438, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 546,838 UGX
2018 Average 547,692 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 499,370 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 47,468.51 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

108.8041
99.7820
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 106.7613, compared to 101.6550 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 5.1063 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 106.7613
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 101.6550

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 3.7390 UGX (High: 106.4582 / Low: 102.7193). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4010 UGX (High: 102.2121 / Low: 100.8110).

June Spread (Volatile) ±3.7390
September Spread (Stable) ±1.4010

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 2.0772 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -2.0772

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 108.0522) against the same month in 2018 (average: 110.4469), the exchange rate shifted by -2.3947 (-2.17%).

2019 Avg (January) 108.0522
2018 Avg (January) 110.4469

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 109.3676 106.3861 108.0522
February 108.4226 104.7769 107.1700
March 108.4151 105.5074 106.8290
April 108.2830 106.1459 107.0705
May 108.2572 105.1909 106.7617
June 106.4582 102.7193 104.6845
July 104.1546 101.7840 102.8695
August 103.3295 100.1149 102.3684
September 102.2121 100.8110 101.3380
October 102.5809 100.3345 101.5835
November 102.4048 100.1987 101.2369
December 101.3589 99.8739 100.5338