YEARLY HIGH
86.5618 UGX
YEARLY LOW
78.1344 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
82.5852 UGX

2023 MUR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MUR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 86.5618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 31, dropping to 78.1344.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.4273 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 83.6715 to the December average rate of 85.6665, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 86.5618 was down 1.22% compared to the 2022 peak of 87.6346, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MUR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 432,809 UGX
2022 Average 417,024 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 390,672 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 42,136.57 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

86.1989
79.8105
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MUR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 81.8144, compared to 83.3560 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5416 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 81.8144
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 83.3560

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was September, with a trading range of 4.8192 UGX (High: 84.6596 / Low: 79.8404). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.5421 UGX (High: 85.5257 / Low: 83.9836).

September Spread (Volatile) ±4.8192
October Spread (Stable) ±1.5421

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.0261 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.0261

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2023: 85.4304) against the same month in 2022 (average: 85.3142), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1161 (+0.14%).

2023 Avg (November) 85.4304
2022 Avg (November) 85.3142

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 85.3968 81.6381 83.6715
February 83.3650 79.1595 80.6453
March 82.7764 78.5738 80.4485
April 83.8145 82.1285 82.9148
May 83.0885 81.2921 82.0357
June 82.5597 79.4845 81.1709
July 81.3472 78.1344 80.3429
August 82.8425 79.0102 80.9125
September 84.6596 79.8404 83.1222
October 85.5257 83.9836 84.6618
November 86.5618 84.1424 85.4304
December 86.3100 84.2008 85.6665