YEARLY HIGH
935.3286 UGX
YEARLY LOW
807.2089 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
862.8635 UGX

2021 RON to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RON to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 935.3286. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 807.2089.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 128.1197 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 922.2026 to the December average rate of 812.0289, the exchange rate registered a net change of -11.95% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 935.3286 was up 1.45% compared to the 2020 peak of 921.9265, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,676,643 UGX
2020 Average 4,384,231 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,036,045 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 640,598.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

933.2199
801.0115
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 891.0225, compared to 834.7045 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 56.3180 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 891.0225
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 834.7045

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was March, with a trading range of 35.6782 UGX (High: 907.3988 / Low: 871.7207). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 11.1624 UGX (High: 818.3714 / Low: 807.2089).

March Spread (Volatile) ±35.6782
December Spread (Stable) ±11.1624

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 19.3405 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -19.3405

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 922.2026) against the same month in 2020 (average: 854.7449), the exchange rate shifted by +67.4576 (+7.89%).

2021 Avg (January) 922.2026
2020 Avg (January) 854.7449

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 935.3286 912.0482 922.2026
February 916.3046 899.0472 909.7434
March 907.3988 871.7207 891.3552
April 887.8728 872.6382 881.1394
May 883.6920 866.4410 876.3983
June 881.0354 851.2923 865.2963
July 858.5163 846.1940 852.7122
August 857.7550 836.6596 845.8307
September 848.7544 829.5861 839.9275
October 853.0321 829.7313 838.5341
November 833.8058 808.4182 819.1936
December 818.3714 807.2089 812.0289