YEARLY HIGH
872.4851 UGX
YEARLY LOW
809.1037 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
842.0850 UGX

2016 RON to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 872.4851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 809.1037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 63.3814 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 826.0730 to the December average rate of 840.0301, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 872.4851 was down 8.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 952.4779, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,362,426 UGX
2015 Average 4,043,259 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,045,519 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 316,906.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

854.5445
823.4847
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 839.5060, compared to 844.6640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.1580 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 839.5060
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 844.6640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 51.2658 UGX (High: 872.4851 / Low: 821.2193). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.7084 UGX (High: 856.1067 / Low: 845.3983).

February Spread (Volatile) ±51.2658
September Spread (Stable) ±10.7084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 11.9252 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -11.9252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 849.2526) against the same month in 2015 (average: 734.7005), the exchange rate shifted by +114.5522 (+15.59%).

2016 Avg (February) 849.2526
2015 Avg (February) 734.7005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 836.9627 809.1037 826.0730
February 872.4851 821.2193 849.2526
March 857.2143 814.9391 838.0699
April 859.2693 830.0362 847.3703
May 851.4148 829.9008 839.7100
June 848.5443 828.7897 836.5603
July 844.4254 829.4735 834.0981
August 855.5671 838.5681 847.3990
September 856.1067 845.3983 851.9562
October 856.2308 831.4979 842.5455
November 865.3883 844.9222 851.9553
December 866.1902 819.3935 840.0301