2016 RON to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

872.4851 UGX

YEARLY LOW

809.1037 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

842.0850 UGX

2016 RON to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the RON to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 11, valuing the pair at 872.4851. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 5, dropping to 809.1037.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 63.3814 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 826.0730 to the December average rate of 840.0301, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 872.4851 was down 8.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 952.4779, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,362,426 UGX

2015 Average 4,043,259 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 4,045,519 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 316,906.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

854.5445

823.4847

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 839.5060, compared to 844.6640 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.1580 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 839.5060

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 844.6640

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 51.2658 UGX (High: 872.4851 / Low: 821.2193). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 10.7084 UGX (High: 856.1067 / Low: 845.3983).

February Spread (Volatile) ±51.2658

September Spread (Stable) ±10.7084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 11.9252 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -11.9252

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2016: 849.2526) against the same month in 2015 (average: 734.7005), the exchange rate shifted by +114.5522 (+15.59%).

2016 Avg (February) 849.2526

2015 Avg (February) 734.7005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	836.9627	809.1037	826.0730
February	872.4851	821.2193	849.2526
March	857.2143	814.9391	838.0699
April	859.2693	830.0362	847.3703
May	851.4148	829.9008	839.7100
June	848.5443	828.7897	836.5603
July	844.4254	829.4735	834.0981
August	855.5671	838.5681	847.3990
September	856.1067	845.3983	851.9562
October	856.2308	831.4979	842.5455
November	865.3883	844.9222	851.9553
December	866.1902	819.3935	840.0301