YEARLY HIGH
985.4605 UGX
YEARLY LOW
895.8289 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
945.5561 UGX

2018 RON to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the RON to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 16, valuing the pair at 985.4605. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 895.8289.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 89.6316 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 954.6806 to the December average rate of 908.7840, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.81% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 985.4605 was up 4.00% compared to the 2017 peak of 947.5373, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RON based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 4,927,303 UGX
2017 Average 4,471,356 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 4,479,144 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 448,158.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

980.1481
902.2964
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RON to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 961.8274, compared to 929.2847 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 32.5427 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 961.8274
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 929.2847

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 50.8026 UGX (High: 976.6407 / Low: 925.8382). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 18.6358 UGX (High: 921.6625 / Low: 903.0267).

July Spread (Volatile) ±50.8026
November Spread (Stable) ±18.6358

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 24.4763 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -24.4763

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2018: 973.6604) against the same month in 2017 (average: 858.3558), the exchange rate shifted by +115.3046 (+13.43%).

2018 Avg (April) 973.6604
2017 Avg (April) 858.3558

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 968.9661 934.6899 954.6806
February 976.3282 954.2615 965.2589
March 981.1925 957.9262 967.1537
April 985.4605 963.1677 973.6604
May 965.2205 935.4747 949.1841
June 975.8943 943.1442 961.0266
July 976.6407 925.8382 944.4555
August 952.4113 909.2671 926.9616
September 967.8597 941.1926 953.8782
October 949.2760 913.7589 930.1528
November 921.6625 903.0267 911.4763
December 916.1130 895.8289 908.7840