YEARLY HIGH
2.5618 DJF
YEARLY LOW
2.2965 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
2.4161 DJF

2021 RUB to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the RUB to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 26, valuing the pair at 2.5618. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 10, dropping to 2.2965.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2653 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.3922 to the December average rate of 2.4110, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.78% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 2.5618 was down 12.19% compared to the 2020 peak of 2.9173, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 RUB based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,809 DJF
2020 Average 12,371 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 11,482 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,326.46 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

2.5121
2.3237
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

RUB to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.3960, compared to 2.4362 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0403 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.3960
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.4362

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.1610 DJF (High: 2.5165 / Low: 2.3555). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0372 DJF (High: 2.4629 / Low: 2.4257).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1610
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0372

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0561 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0561

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2021: 2.4964) against the same month in 2020 (average: 2.2952), the exchange rate shifted by +0.2011 (+8.76%).

2021 Avg (October) 2.4964
2020 Avg (October) 2.2952

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 2.4309 2.3360 2.3922
February 2.4277 2.3343 2.3951
March 2.4454 2.3224 2.3886
April 2.3925 2.2965 2.3394
May 2.4323 2.3757 2.4074
June 2.4799 2.4207 2.4530
July 2.4328 2.3792 2.4070
August 2.4452 2.3933 2.4205
September 2.4629 2.4257 2.4423
October 2.5618 2.4456 2.4964
November 2.5165 2.3555 2.4403
December 2.4285 2.3766 2.4110