YEARLY HIGH
279.7596 UGX
YEARLY LOW
170.8757 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
229.3674 UGX

2021 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 279.7596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 170.8757.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 108.8839 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 173.8687 to the December average rate of 264.3479, the exchange rate registered a net change of 52.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 279.7596 was down 6.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 297.6635, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,398,798 UGX
2020 Average 1,105,845 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 854,379 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 544,419.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

278.6392
163.4051
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 199.5534, compared to 259.1814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 59.6280 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 199.5534
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 259.1814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 84.0809 UGX (High: 260.2091 / Low: 176.1282). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.4518 UGX (High: 175.3685 / Low: 170.9166).

April Spread (Volatile) ±84.0809
January Spread (Stable) ±4.4518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 9.6854 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.6854

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 264.3479) against the same month in 2020 (average: 172.9266), the exchange rate shifted by +91.4212 (+52.87%).

2021 Avg (December) 264.3479
2020 Avg (December) 172.9266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 175.3685 170.9166 173.8687
February 176.5779 170.8757 173.2127
March 179.6784 171.1855 173.0080
April 260.2091 176.1282 223.8316
May 242.7568 214.9429 225.7738
June 241.8508 213.4349 227.6257
July 263.0214 216.3891 240.6177
August 275.9312 230.0704 258.1989
September 275.9764 251.0128 269.0363
October 277.9969 237.7031 259.3509
November 278.5733 239.4047 263.5365
December 279.7596 238.2679 264.3479