2021 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

279.7596 UGX

YEARLY LOW

170.8757 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

229.3674 UGX

2021 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 279.7596. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 21, dropping to 170.8757.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 108.8839 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 173.8687 to the December average rate of 264.3479, the exchange rate registered a net change of 52.04% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 279.7596 was down 6.01% compared to the 2020 peak of 297.6635, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,398,798 UGX

2020 Average 1,105,845 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 854,379 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 544,419.28 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

278.6392

163.4051

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 199.5534, compared to 259.1814 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 59.6280 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 199.5534

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 259.1814

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was April, with a trading range of 84.0809 UGX (High: 260.2091 / Low: 176.1282). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.4518 UGX (High: 175.3685 / Low: 170.9166).

April Spread (Volatile) ±84.0809

January Spread (Stable) ±4.4518

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 9.6854 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.6854

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 264.3479) against the same month in 2020 (average: 172.9266), the exchange rate shifted by +91.4212 (+52.87%).

2021 Avg (December) 264.3479

2020 Avg (December) 172.9266

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	175.3685	170.9166	173.8687
February	176.5779	170.8757	173.2127
March	179.6784	171.1855	173.0080
April	260.2091	176.1282	223.8316
May	242.7568	214.9429	225.7738
June	241.8508	213.4349	227.6257
July	263.0214	216.3891	240.6177
August	275.9312	230.0704	258.1989
September	275.9764	251.0128	269.0363
October	277.9969	237.7031	259.3509
November	278.5733	239.4047	263.5365
December	279.7596	238.2679	264.3479