YEARLY HIGH
270.9580 UGX
YEARLY LOW
229.5970 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
251.9067 UGX

2025 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 27, valuing the pair at 270.9580. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 20, dropping to 229.5970.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 41.3610 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 256.5420 to the December average rate of 248.5542, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.11% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 270.9580 was down 7.58% compared to the 2024 peak of 293.1738, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,354,790 UGX
2024 Average 1,374,569 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,147,985 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 206,805.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

259.4594
239.4450
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 255.2493, compared to 248.5641 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.6852 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 255.2493
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 248.5641

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 30.5270 UGX (High: 270.9580 / Low: 240.4310). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0480 UGX (High: 258.6015 / Low: 255.5535).

November Spread (Volatile) ±30.5270
May Spread (Stable) ±3.0480

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 9.2373 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -9.2373

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2025: 257.7915) against the same month in 2024 (average: 267.6302), the exchange rate shifted by -9.8387 (-3.68%).

2025 Avg (November) 257.7915
2024 Avg (November) 267.6302

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 261.8712 242.9565 256.5420
February 257.8604 244.4385 255.0499
March 258.4573 250.9032 255.4575
April 259.1427 252.1708 256.3977
May 258.6015 255.5535 257.2595
June 255.5535 243.8016 250.7890
July 254.8947 244.6398 251.7701
August 253.1246 233.9872 247.5254
September 249.5899 230.0824 241.1129
October 256.5170 229.5970 244.6303
November 270.9580 240.4310 257.7915
December 264.5307 236.0510 248.5542