YEARLY HIGH
286.5474 UGX
YEARLY LOW
231.8659 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
266.5821 UGX

2026 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 3, valuing the pair at 286.5474. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 231.8659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 54.6815 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 253.8251 to the December average rate of 277.1722, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 286.5474 was up 5.75% compared to the 2025 peak of 270.9580, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,432,737 UGX
2025 Average 1,259,425 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,159,329 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 273,407.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

279.5069
251.4904
JanuMarcMayJuly

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 263.9638, compared to 274.4370 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 10.4733 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 263.9638
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 274.4370

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was February, with a trading range of 36.3184 UGX (High: 273.6933 / Low: 237.3749). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0310 UGX (High: 277.1917 / Low: 277.1607).

February Spread (Volatile) ±36.3184
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0310

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 4.1047 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.1047

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 271.7679) against the same month in 2025 (average: 250.7890), the exchange rate shifted by +20.9789 (+8.37%).

2026 Avg (June) 271.7679
2025 Avg (June) 250.7890

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 268.0723 231.8659 253.8251
February 273.6933 237.3749 258.1958
March 277.1371 246.2450 263.5941
April 274.8087 243.3061 260.5270
May 277.9101 271.9515 275.8727
June 286.5474 261.6946 271.7679
July 279.4722 252.9760 271.7019
August 277.1917 277.1607 277.1722