2012 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

206.2776 UGX

YEARLY LOW

161.5589 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

182.9170 UGX

2012 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 206.2776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 161.5589.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 44.7188 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 173.8405 to the December average rate of 204.1928, the exchange rate registered a net change of 17.46% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 206.2776 was down 11.93% compared to the 2011 peak of 234.2082, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,031,388 UGX

2011 Average 1,014,649 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 807,794 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 223,593.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

207.9418

162.9532

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 173.7464, compared to 192.0876 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 18.3411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 173.7464

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 192.0876

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 21.4963 UGX (High: 186.1319 / Low: 164.6356). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8397 UGX (High: 206.2776 / Low: 202.4379).

January Spread (Volatile) ±21.4963

December Spread (Stable) ±3.8397

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 7.1383 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.1383

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 204.1928) against the same month in 2011 (average: 183.8550), the exchange rate shifted by +20.3378 (+11.06%).

2012 Avg (December) 204.1928

2011 Avg (December) 183.8550

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	186.1319	164.6356	173.8405
February	175.7452	161.5589	166.7022
March	187.4707	172.6192	176.0816
April	182.6122	173.1483	178.4298
May	178.5517	170.4215	175.3149
June	176.1543	168.3293	172.1096
July	176.7251	164.5501	170.3084
August	193.7975	176.7487	188.0728
September	195.5675	191.3430	193.4110
October	198.7450	194.7128	197.0093
November	204.5492	196.0167	199.5312
December	206.2776	202.4379	204.1928