2016 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

274.6552 UGX

YEARLY LOW

237.3350 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

257.5882 UGX

2016 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 274.6552. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 14, dropping to 237.3350.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.3202 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 263.4636 to the December average rate of 268.9670, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 274.6552 was down 4.64% compared to the 2015 peak of 288.0336, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,373,276 UGX

2015 Average 1,220,580 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,186,675 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 186,601.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

270.9817

246.8057

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 254.9140, compared to 260.2625 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 5.3485 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 254.9140

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 260.2625

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 27.9851 UGX (High: 267.5029 / Low: 239.5178). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.3790 UGX (High: 257.5341 / Low: 253.1551).

February Spread (Volatile) ±27.9851

September Spread (Stable) ±4.3790

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 7.3824 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.3824

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 268.9670) against the same month in 2015 (average: 263.1285), the exchange rate shifted by +5.8385 (+2.22%).

2016 Avg (December) 268.9670

2015 Avg (December) 263.1285

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	270.4229	254.1636	263.4636
February	267.5029	239.5178	256.0812
March	258.7464	248.3797	252.9679
April	259.0661	237.3350	248.8204
May	258.0824	240.6050	251.0370
June	269.8129	251.0851	257.1136
July	264.7412	251.2835	256.8498
August	258.3868	250.3660	254.7907
September	257.5341	253.1551	255.1623
October	262.1793	253.6015	258.9580
November	273.6359	260.5397	266.8470
December	274.6552	263.6401	268.9670