2017 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

278.9496 UGX

YEARLY LOW

256.6637 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

266.3063 UGX

2017 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 7, valuing the pair at 278.9496. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 15, dropping to 256.6637.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.2859 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 270.3176 to the December average rate of 260.4550, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.65% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 278.9496 was up 1.56% compared to the 2016 peak of 274.6552, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,394,748 UGX

2016 Average 1,288,015 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,283,318 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 111,429.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

271.3039

259.4687

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 268.0981, compared to 264.5145 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.5836 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 268.0981

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 264.5145

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was November, with a trading range of 18.5759 UGX (High: 275.2396 / Low: 256.6637). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 8.4258 UGX (High: 271.0448 / Low: 262.6190).

November Spread (Volatile) ±18.5759

February Spread (Stable) ±8.4258

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.5470 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.5470

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 268.0102) against the same month in 2016 (average: 252.9679), the exchange rate shifted by +15.0422 (+5.95%).

2017 Avg (March) 268.0102

2016 Avg (March) 252.9679

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	278.7766	265.0678	270.3176
February	271.0448	262.6190	266.7706
March	278.9496	262.8698	268.0102
April	278.2183	265.1961	269.3839
May	271.7836	263.1597	267.5839
June	275.2315	257.9528	266.5224
July	275.2112	259.9040	266.4857
August	274.7410	262.6433	266.2271
September	271.6426	261.8655	265.0490
October	272.0676	259.4628	265.6174
November	275.2396	256.6637	263.2531
December	271.1243	256.8159	260.4550