2020 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

297.6635 UGX

YEARLY LOW

171.8655 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

221.2898 UGX

2020 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 16, valuing the pair at 297.6635. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 29, dropping to 171.8655.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 125.7979 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 269.2721 to the December average rate of 172.9266, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.78% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 297.6635 was down 0.27% compared to the 2019 peak of 298.4718, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,488,317 UGX

2019 Average 1,354,357 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 859,328 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 628,989.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

285.9549

162.6513

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 246.2568, compared to 196.3228 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 49.9340 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 246.2568

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 196.3228

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was April, with a trading range of 61.1478 UGX (High: 276.6586 / Low: 215.5108). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.4334 UGX (High: 206.7789 / Low: 205.3454).

April Spread (Volatile) ±61.1478

September Spread (Stable) ±1.4334

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 42.8495 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -42.8495

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 275.6796) against the same month in 2019 (average: 270.5718), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1078 (+1.89%).

2020 Avg (March) 275.6796

2019 Avg (March) 270.5718

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	287.6152	267.3538	269.2721
February	279.1839	266.4570	269.1058
March	297.6635	267.4328	275.6796
April	276.6586	215.5108	232.8301
May	235.6091	210.0468	217.9892
June	221.7470	209.8661	212.6640
July	211.7857	206.0404	209.7408
August	207.2950	198.2684	205.8316
September	206.7789	205.3454	205.9348
October	206.3615	193.3531	201.2189
November	193.4490	177.8287	182.2842
December	177.8437	171.8655	172.9266