2014 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

216.7062 UGX

YEARLY LOW

188.9385 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

204.5279 UGX

2014 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 216.7062. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 188.9385.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.7677 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 207.1943 to the December average rate of 197.7951, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.54% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 216.7062 was down 4.48% compared to the 2013 peak of 226.8644, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,083,531 UGX

2013 Average 1,070,913 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 944,693 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 138,838.55 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

215.9552

190.4866

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 207.6507, compared to 201.4052 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 6.2455 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 207.6507

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 201.4052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was December, with a trading range of 13.4761 UGX (High: 207.6352 / Low: 194.1591). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.4312 UGX (High: 201.6144 / Low: 199.1832).

December Spread (Volatile) ±13.4761

September Spread (Stable) ±2.4312

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 7.4108 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.4108

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 213.8328) against the same month in 2013 (average: 216.1057), the exchange rate shifted by -2.2730 (-1.05%).

2014 Avg (July) 213.8328

2013 Avg (July) 216.1057

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	209.9282	203.2389	207.1943
February	208.9912	200.9149	203.4507
March	212.4903	205.7191	208.6904
April	213.7022	204.1261	209.1972
May	211.0910	202.0344	207.3828
June	211.3131	207.3471	209.9889
July	216.7062	210.8552	213.8328
August	213.2696	200.6274	207.6216
September	201.6144	199.1832	200.2108
October	201.8180	190.3484	196.3618
November	195.6408	188.9385	192.6090
December	207.6352	194.1591	197.7951