2015 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

288.0336 UGX

YEARLY LOW

201.2336 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

243.8867 UGX

2015 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 28, valuing the pair at 288.0336. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 201.2336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 86.8000 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 204.9088 to the December average rate of 263.1285, the exchange rate registered a net change of 28.41% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 288.0336 was up 32.91% compared to the 2014 peak of 216.7062, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,440,168 UGX

2014 Average 1,022,768 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,006,168 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 433,999.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

288.5227

197.1857

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 218.3281, compared to 269.4453 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 51.1172 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 218.3281

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 269.4453

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 25.9907 UGX (High: 254.6787 / Low: 228.6880). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.6105 UGX (High: 208.6950 / Low: 202.0845).

June Spread (Volatile) ±25.9907

February Spread (Stable) ±6.6105

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 12.7975 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -12.7975

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 280.9113) against the same month in 2014 (average: 200.2108), the exchange rate shifted by +80.7005 (+40.31%).

2015 Avg (September) 280.9113

2014 Avg (September) 200.2108

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	210.6971	201.2336	204.9088
February	208.6950	202.0845	204.7971
March	218.9685	205.8177	214.8732
April	224.6287	216.3817	220.6384
May	229.0818	219.2329	224.0212
June	254.6787	228.6880	240.7297
July	268.5718	246.5595	255.3821
August	285.7218	260.8597	270.8218
September	288.0336	271.4352	280.9113
October	285.9084	272.0431	279.6126
November	279.2404	256.4088	266.8151
December	273.3228	255.3501	263.1285