YEARLY HIGH
293.1738 UGX
YEARLY LOW
241.4536 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
274.9741 UGX

2024 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 13, valuing the pair at 293.1738. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 241.4536.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 51.7202 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 284.2927 to the December average rate of 259.7428, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.64% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 293.1738 was down 0.77% compared to the 2023 peak of 295.4634, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,465,869 UGX
2023 Average 1,386,174 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,207,268 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 258,600.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

290.5255
256.9443
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 281.4497, compared to 268.4985 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 12.9512 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 281.4497
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 268.4985

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was August, with a trading range of 43.6366 UGX (High: 289.4473 / Low: 245.8107). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.8016 UGX (High: 281.7311 / Low: 271.9295).

August Spread (Volatile) ±43.6366
May Spread (Stable) ±9.8016

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 8.0690 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -8.0690

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 287.7271) against the same month in 2023 (average: 272.2304), the exchange rate shifted by +15.4967 (+5.69%).

2024 Avg (February) 287.7271
2023 Avg (February) 272.2304

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 292.1567 274.6197 284.2927
February 293.1738 280.3202 287.7271
March 291.0680 273.0939 286.5425
April 286.9336 264.6454 281.0934
May 281.7311 271.9295 277.3362
June 279.6345 254.8626 271.7062
July 274.4065 261.8341 268.5716
August 289.4473 245.8107 271.1067
September 288.7400 264.5548 276.0043
October 280.6250 243.6166 267.9353
November 274.5711 258.2125 267.6302
December 277.2104 241.4536 259.7428