2011 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

234.2082 UGX

YEARLY LOW

175.2245 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

202.8646 UGX

2011 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 234.2082. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 22, dropping to 175.2245.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 58.9837 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 187.4993 to the December average rate of 183.8550, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.94% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 234.2082 was up 21.21% compared to the 2010 peak of 193.2309, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,171,041 UGX

2010 Average 896,935 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 876,122 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 294,918.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

233.2576

179.3638

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 193.2509, compared to 212.4784 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 19.2275 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 193.2509

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 212.4784

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 32.9522 UGX (High: 233.8379 / Low: 200.8858). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.6918 UGX (High: 197.5851 / Low: 190.8933).

October Spread (Volatile) ±32.9522

May Spread (Stable) ±6.6918

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 21.3112 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -21.3112

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 228.7664) against the same month in 2010 (average: 178.9350), the exchange rate shifted by +49.8315 (+27.85%).

2011 Avg (September) 228.7664

2010 Avg (September) 178.9350

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	194.7309	182.5678	187.4993
February	196.8287	186.9313	190.5625
March	198.5087	190.2172	194.7951
April	197.0191	187.4241	193.7392
May	197.5851	190.8933	193.0254
June	218.0695	192.0303	199.8837
July	215.6828	205.2960	211.7631
August	231.0386	210.4554	224.8553
September	234.2082	222.8478	228.7664
October	233.8379	200.8858	223.4709
November	209.8014	192.8999	202.1597
December	196.8845	175.2245	183.8550