2019 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

298.4718 UGX

YEARLY LOW

262.5980 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

270.8550 UGX

2019 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 11, valuing the pair at 298.4718. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 13, dropping to 262.5980.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 35.8738 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 271.3738 to the December average rate of 268.2176, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 298.4718 was up 3.38% compared to the 2018 peak of 288.7145, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,492,359 UGX

2018 Average 1,368,471 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,312,990 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 179,368.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

276.1635

267.4953

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 271.9823, compared to 269.7276 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2546 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 271.9823

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 269.7276

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was August, with a trading range of 33.6614 UGX (High: 298.4718 / Low: 264.8103). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.6356 UGX (High: 276.2919 / Low: 273.6563).

August Spread (Volatile) ±33.6614

May Spread (Stable) ±2.6356

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 3.4152 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.4152

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 271.7638) against the same month in 2018 (average: 274.4754), the exchange rate shifted by -2.7115 (-0.99%).

2019 Avg (August) 271.7638

2018 Avg (August) 274.4754

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	273.7323	267.7516	271.3738
February	270.7531	266.3996	268.5545
March	272.0180	268.2300	270.5718
April	274.8032	269.2401	272.9056
May	276.2919	273.6563	275.4411
June	275.7809	269.0859	273.0467
July	272.6537	264.2694	270.3597
August	298.4718	264.8103	271.7638
September	269.9571	266.6737	268.3486
October	271.4193	267.6597	269.6770
November	285.9395	262.5980	269.9990
December	270.4206	267.1627	268.2176