YEARLY HIGH
302.1440 UGX
YEARLY LOW
235.2782 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
272.5886 UGX

2022 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 1, valuing the pair at 302.1440. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 235.2782.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 66.8658 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 256.6387 to the December average rate of 275.9685, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.53% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 302.1440 was up 8.00% compared to the 2021 peak of 279.7596, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,510,720 UGX
2021 Average 1,148,233 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,176,391 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 334,328.78 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

293.1237
245.2727
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 261.3570, compared to 283.8203 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 22.4633 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 261.3570
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 283.8203

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 43.3439 UGX (High: 293.9575 / Low: 250.6136). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.2826 UGX (High: 251.3496 / Low: 245.0671).

May Spread (Volatile) ±43.3439
March Spread (Stable) ±6.2826

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 7.7999 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.7999

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 289.1361) against the same month in 2021 (average: 258.1989), the exchange rate shifted by +30.9372 (+11.98%).

2022 Avg (August) 289.1361
2021 Avg (August) 258.1989

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 270.9001 235.2782 256.6387
February 270.2221 241.5778 257.0602
March 251.3496 245.0671 249.2603
April 272.5337 242.8125 249.5522
May 293.9575 250.6136 275.7447
June 293.4009 260.9691 279.8858
July 300.4081 265.0864 286.1280
August 302.1440 274.0155 289.1361
September 300.9680 266.0788 284.9688
October 295.1162 276.6449 286.2768
November 295.3580 271.5901 280.4434
December 288.7492 257.5273 275.9685