2018 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

288.7145 UGX

YEARLY LOW

256.9565 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

273.6859 UGX

2018 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 288.7145. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 15, dropping to 256.9565.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 31.7580 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 261.6353 to the December average rate of 271.6109, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.81% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 288.7145 was up 3.50% compared to the 2017 peak of 278.9496, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,443,572 UGX

2017 Average 1,331,526 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,284,782 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 158,789.95 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

286.3256

259.3908

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 271.9447, compared to 275.4271 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.4824 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 271.9447

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 275.4271

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was May, with a trading range of 16.0719 UGX (High: 280.5835 / Low: 264.5115). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2722 UGX (High: 275.4959 / Low: 271.2237).

May Spread (Volatile) ±16.0719

November Spread (Stable) ±4.2722

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 6.7791 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -6.7791

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 284.0811) against the same month in 2017 (average: 266.5224), the exchange rate shifted by +17.5587 (+6.59%).

2018 Avg (June) 284.0811

2017 Avg (June) 266.5224

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	266.4954	256.9565	261.6353
February	273.9609	259.2014	267.3553
March	274.0089	258.7455	267.9675
April	276.2298	268.3848	274.3486
May	280.5835	264.5115	276.2806
June	288.7145	280.4017	284.0811
July	288.0730	272.0744	277.3019
August	277.0607	271.2593	274.4754
September	281.3314	266.5430	278.5579
October	281.1077	272.2257	276.8578
November	275.4959	271.2237	273.7587
December	274.1436	264.8895	271.6109