2013 SCR to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

226.8644 UGX

YEARLY LOW

204.5206 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

214.1677 UGX

2013 SCR to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the SCR to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 226.8644. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 1, dropping to 204.5206.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 22.3438 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 206.0976 to the December average rate of 208.3416, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.09% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 226.8644 was up 9.98% compared to the 2012 peak of 206.2776, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 SCR based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,134,322 UGX

2012 Average 914,867 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,022,603 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 111,719.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

224.1834

204.4534

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

SCR to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 216.2854, compared to 212.0501 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.2353 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 216.2854

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 212.0501

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was March, with a trading range of 12.4823 UGX (High: 226.8644 / Low: 214.3821). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2456 UGX (High: 219.6605 / Low: 217.4149).

March Spread (Volatile) ±12.4823

June Spread (Stable) ±2.2456

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 3.2274 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.2274

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2013: 222.5392) against the same month in 2012 (average: 176.0816), the exchange rate shifted by +46.4577 (+26.38%).

2013 Avg (March) 222.5392

2012 Avg (March) 176.0816

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	208.3983	204.5206	206.0976
February	216.4557	207.3924	210.7465
March	226.8644	214.3821	222.5392
April	223.4908	214.8358	219.9635
May	221.5959	217.2510	219.5114
June	219.6605	217.4149	218.8541
July	218.2364	213.6494	216.1057
August	216.7246	213.3401	214.8975
September	216.8296	211.6283	213.4749
October	212.1573	206.6770	210.2476
November	210.8642	206.0532	209.2333
December	210.2581	206.9433	208.3416