YEARLY HIGH
4.4352 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.9658 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.2354 MOP

2014 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 13, valuing the pair at 4.4352. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 11, dropping to 3.9658.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.4695 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.2923 to the December average rate of 4.0712, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 4.4352 was down 4.69% compared to the 2013 peak of 4.6536, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 22,176 MOP
2013 Average 22,306 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 19,829 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,347.35 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

4.3972
3.9787
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.3064, compared to 4.1645 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1419 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.3064
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.1645

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was September, with a trading range of 0.2305 MOP (High: 4.3231 / Low: 4.0926). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0646 MOP (High: 4.3217 / Low: 4.2571).

September Spread (Volatile) ±0.2305
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0646

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.1195 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1195

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 4.3336) against the same month in 2013 (average: 4.3277), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0059 (+0.14%).

2014 Avg (July) 4.3336
2013 Avg (July) 4.3277

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.3284 4.2582 4.2923
February 4.3075 4.2320 4.2721
March 4.3811 4.2817 4.3061
April 4.4326 4.2916 4.3624
May 4.4003 4.2710 4.3090
June 4.3217 4.2571 4.2966
July 4.4352 4.2838 4.3336
August 4.3782 4.2322 4.2985
September 4.3231 4.0926 4.1947
October 4.1213 4.0185 4.0753
November 4.0793 3.9658 4.0135
December 4.1071 4.0313 4.0712