YEARLY HIGH
3.6790 MOP
YEARLY LOW
3.4309 MOP
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.5511 MOP

2016 TOP to MOP Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the TOP to MOP exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 9, valuing the pair at 3.6790. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 3.4309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2482 MOP. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.5537 to the December average rate of 3.5097, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.24% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.6790 was down 9.53% compared to the 2015 peak of 4.0665, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 TOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 18,395 MOP
2015 Average 18,872 MOP
Yearly Trough Low 17,154 MOP
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,240.81 MOP purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

3.6037
3.5012
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

TOP to MOP Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.5533, compared to 3.5490 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0043 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 3.5533
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.5490

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.1904 MOP (High: 3.6790 / Low: 3.4886). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0379 MOP (High: 3.5749 / Low: 3.5371).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.1904
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0379

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0604 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0604

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 3.5701) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.5918), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0217 (-0.60%).

2016 Avg (November) 3.5701
2015 Avg (November) 3.5918

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 3.5886 3.4933 3.5537
February 3.5746 3.4309 3.5216
March 3.5764 3.5283 3.5461
April 3.6163 3.5618 3.5843
May 3.5988 3.5111 3.5517
June 3.6076 3.5047 3.5622
July 3.5601 3.4856 3.5283
August 3.5566 3.5171 3.5377
September 3.5749 3.5371 3.5530
October 3.6290 3.5399 3.5952
November 3.6790 3.4886 3.5701
December 3.5786 3.4318 3.5097