YEARLY HIGH
147.5875 CDF
YEARLY LOW
145.6253 CDF
YEARLY AVERAGE
146.6923 CDF

2014 VEF to CDF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the VEF to CDF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 6, valuing the pair at 147.5875. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 25, dropping to 145.6253.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9622 CDF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 146.8921 to the December average rate of 146.6717, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.15% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 147.5875 was down 31.90% compared to the 2013 peak of 216.7100, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 VEF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 737,937 CDF
2013 Average 810,568 CDF
Yearly Trough Low 728,126 CDF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,811.05 CDF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

147.0605
146.4938
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

VEF to CDF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 146.6456, compared to 146.7391 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0936 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 146.6456
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 146.7391

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was June, with a trading range of 1.6934 CDF (High: 147.3186 / Low: 145.6253). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6864 CDF (High: 146.9275 / Low: 146.2411).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.6934
August Spread (Stable) ±0.6864

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3416 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3416

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 147.0132) against the same month in 2013 (average: 146.8602), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1531 (+0.10%).

2014 Avg (November) 147.0132
2013 Avg (November) 146.8602

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 147.3154 146.4978 146.8921
February 147.1039 145.6890 146.5932
March 147.0294 146.0395 146.6231
April 147.0028 146.1874 146.6212
May 146.8663 145.8428 146.5411
June 147.3186 145.6253 146.6027
July 147.0249 146.1153 146.6370
August 146.9275 146.2411 146.6858
September 146.9778 145.6995 146.6205
October 147.3567 146.2182 146.8065
November 147.5875 146.7327 147.0132
December 147.2651 145.9647 146.6717